A poll also shows that President Biden’s support rating is significantly below 50%.
A new nationwide poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College finds former President Trump just ahead of Vice President Biden in a repeat of the 2024 general election.
Furthermore, the study indicates that the president is losing favor among younger Americans, a critical Democratic base, as a result of his handling of the Israel-Palestinian conflict in Gaza.
According to the poll, issued on Tuesday, Trump has a 46%-44% lead against Biden among registered voters nationwide.
In a very early look at next November’s presidential election, Biden leads Trump by a razor-thin 47%-45% margin among those likely to vote in the 2024 race.
In 2024 rematch polls, the 81-year-old Biden had an advantage over the 77-year-old Trump, but Trump began to have an advantage against his successor in the White House in most polls beginning in October.
According to the poll, over three-quarters of voters aged 18 to 29 – a significant section of the Democratic base that helped propel Biden to victory over then-President Trump in the 2020 election – disapprove of the way Biden is handling the Gaza situation.
Younger voters polled indicated they would vote for Trump over the president 49%-43%. This is a significant shift from June, when a Siena College survey for the New York Times showed Biden with a 10-point lead.
Overall, registered voters felt Trump would handle the Israeli-Palestinian conflict better than Biden, by a 46%-38% margin.
According to the new poll, Biden’s favorable rating has dropped to 37% among registered voters.
In a Monmouth University poll issued on Monday, the president received 34% approval, an all-time low in Monmouth polling since Biden took over the White House over three years ago.
In a Wall Street Journal poll published earlier this month, Biden received 37% approval, an all-time low. However, according to a new Fox News national poll issued on Sunday, Biden’s approval rating is 43%.
The approval rate is a major indicator of a president’s effectiveness, clout, and popularity, and it is a carefully followed metric, particularly when an incumbent pursues a second term in office.